Navigationsweiche Anfang

Navigationsweiche Ende

Sprache wählen

Aktuelles

  • Pressemiteilung: Eurobonds-Ansatz nur als vernünftiges Finanzprodukt
    Chancen und Risiken von differenzierten Euro-Gemeinschaftsanleihen sorgfältig zu... [mehr]
  • New Discussion Paper (Advance Version March 30th) Macroeconomic and Health Care Aspects of the Coronavirus Epidemic: EU, US and Global Perspectives
    Summary: The novel coronavirus (COVID-19) epidemic represents a major challenge for the world... [mehr]
  • Makroökonomische und gesundheitspolitische Aspekte der Coronavirus-Epidemie: EU, USA und globale Perspektiven
    Zusammenfassung: Die neuartige CoronaviRus (COVID-19)-Epidemie stellt eine große Herausforderung... [mehr]
  • Macroeconomic and Health Care Aspects of the Coronavirus Epidemic: EU, US and Global Perspectives
    Summary: The novel coronavirus (COVID-19) epidemic represents a major challenge for the world... [mehr]
  • Prof. Paul JJ Welfens in UC Berkeley (Feb, 2020) | The Global Trump
    Prof. Paul JJ Welfens presented his book The Global Trump: Structural US Populism and Economic... [mehr]
zum Archiv ->

Paul J.J. Welfens: Lack of International Risk Management in BREXIT?

Paul J.J. Welfens: Lack of International Risk Management in BREXIT?

Summary

BREXIT is a historical step for the UK and the EU27 which could bring a strong Pound deprecation, an increase in risk premiums for British bonds and a transitory rise of financial market volatility plus a long term reduction of economic growth in the UK. Macroprudential supervision thus is a crucial policy challenge for EU28 in the context of BREXIT and the European Systemic Risk Board thus should have a critical role in 2018 and the following years. The ESRB should timely analyze the potential risk of BREXIT and consider adequate policy options to reduce or eliminate risks. Contract continuity as well as cooperation in prudential supervision between the EU27 and the UK stand for BREXIT-related problems that could create financial market stability – as is the BREXITinduced UK deregulation pressure. EU prudential supervision post-BREXIT faces problems since a very large part of EU27 wholesale banking markets are in the UK and thus not regulated by the EU after March 29, 2019. The EU Commission’s competence for EU trade policy as well as international investment treaties gives the EU the opportunity to offer the UK not only a – limited – Free Trade Agreement but an international investment treaty as well, including options for global cooperation. Several policy innovations are proposed which could help to limit risk associated with instability.

Download the paper